Bangalore housing sales rose by 80% in Q1 2019 against Q1 2017, unsold stock declined by 44%
City’s inventory overhang declined from 42 months in Q1 2017 to 15 months by Q1 2019 end; new supply rose by a mere 39%
31% NRIs see Bangalore as most preferred city for investment – ANAROCK Consumer Sentiment Survey
As per ANAROCK data, Bangalore has been one of the most active residential markets over the last two years with overall housing sales rising by 80% in Q1 2019 against the same period in 2017 while the overall unsold stock declined by a whopping 44% during the same period – the maximum among top cities.
Housing Sales (Units) – Top 7 cities
| City | Q1 2017 | Q1 2018 | Q1 2019 | % Change in 2 yrs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCR | 7,290 | 9,070 | 13,740 | 88% |
| MMR | 13,470 | 12,300 | 24,010 | 78% |
| Bangalore | 8,660 | 11,690 | 15,580 | 80% |
| Pune | 7,595 | 6,850 | 12,340 | 62% |
| Hyderabad | 3,075 | 4,050 | 5,400 | 76% |
| Chennai | 2,660 | 2,420 | 3,430 | 29% |
| Kolkata | 3,260 | 3,420 | 4,020 | 23% |
| Total | 46,010 | 49,800 | 78,520 | 71% |
Source: ANAROCK Research
Unsold Stock (Units) – Top 7 cities
| City | Q1 2017 | Q1 2018 | Q1 2019 | % Change in 2 yrs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCR | 2,19,998 | 2,00,476 | 1,80,999 | -18% |
| MMR | 2,30,805 | 2,23,192 | 2,22,327 | -4% |
| Bangalore | 1,18,695 | 91,633 | 66,819 | -44% |
| Pune | 1,06,242 | 93,321 | 92,585 | -13% |
| Hyderabad | 32,182 | 26,924 | 25,401 | -21% |
| Chennai | 31,034 | 26,800 | 30,575 | -1% |
| Kolkata | 50,544 | 51,049 | 46,452 | -8% |
| Total | 7,89,500 | 7,13,394 | 6,65,157 | -16% |
Source: ANAROCK Research
With rising sales across the city backed by rising consumer demand, Bangalore’s inventory overhang declined from 42 months in Q1 2017 to merely 15 months as on Q1 2019 end. At any given point, an inventory overhang within 18 months is considered a healthy market.
Inventory Overhang – Top 7 cities
| Cities | Q1-2017 | Q1-2018 | Q1-2019 |
|---|---|---|---|
| NCR | 90 | 66 | 45 |
| MMR | 54 | 55 | 35 |
| Bangalore | 42 | 26 | 15 |
| Pune | 44 | 40 | 28 |
| Hyderabad | 39 | 23 | 15 |
| Chennai | 39 | 36 | 30 |
| Kolkata | 48 | 46 | 35 |
| PAN India | 50 | 42 | 30 |
Source: ANAROCK Research
Bangalore’s new supply during the last 2 years remained largely limited in comparison to other prominent cities like Pune, Chennai and MMR that saw their new launches increase by whopping 279%, 118% and 79% respectively. Bangalore saw its new supply increase by merely 39% from Q1 2017 to Q1 2019. Builders cautiously focused on releasing less new supply in the market and instead focused on sale of old projects. This invariably led to increased housing sales.
New Supply (units) across Top 7 cities
| City | Q1 2017 | Q1 2018 | Q1 2019 | % Change in 2 yrs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCR | 6,860 | 4,540 | 8,030 | 17% |
| MMR | 15,000 | 9,490 | 26,850 | 79% |
| Bangalore | 6,520 | 7,320 | 9,070 | 39% |
| Pune | 4,630 | 2,750 | 17,520 | 279% |
| Hyderabad | 3,960 | 3,680 | 4,850 | 22% |
| Chennai | 1,460 | 2,720 | 3,180 | 118% |
| Kolkata | 6,580 | 6,470 | 1,000 | -85% |
| Total | 45,010 | 36,970 | 70,500 | 57% |
Source: ANAROCK Research
Bangalore saw the highest jump in average property prices in the last two years at about 6%. The current average prices in the city are INR 4,950 per sq. ft.
| City | INR/sq. ft. Q1 2017 | INR/sq. ft. Q1 2018 | INR/sq. ft. Q1 2019 | % Change in 2 yrs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCR | 4,625 | 4,520 | 4,565 | -1% |
| MMR | 10,480 | 10,410 | 10,550 | 1% |
| Bangalore | 4,690 | 4,850 | 4,950 | 6% |
| Pune | 5,300 | 5,410 | 5,480 | 3% |
| Hyderabad | 3,950 | 4,100 | 4,172 | 6% |
| Chennai | 4,900 | 4,910 | 4,915 | 0% |
| Kolkata | 4,370 | 4,430 | 4,375 | 0% |
| Total | 5,474 | 5,519 | 5,572 | 2% |
Source: ANAROCK Research
Interestingly, if we deep-dive into ANAROCK’s unsold inventory data, the city saw maximum decline in the premium segment (priced within INR 1.5 Cr to INR 2.5 Cr) comprising 49% decline within a year – from 6,370 units in Q1 2018 to 3,260 units in Q1 2019. This was followed by mid-segment properties (INR 40 lakh – INR 80 lakh) that saw yearly decline of 28% during the same period.
| City | Q1 2018 INR 1.5 Cr – 2.5 Cr | Q1 2019 INR 1.5 Cr – 2.5 Cr | % Decline/Rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| NCR | 10,336 | 9,590 | -7% |
| MMR | 25,758 | 23,929 | -7% |
| Bangalore | 6,365 | 3,255 | -49% |
| Pune | 2,041 | 1,936 | -5% |
| Hyderabad | 1,732 | 1,912 | 10% |
| Chennai | 846 | 1,265 | 50% |
| Kolkata | 1,219 | 769 | -37% |
| Total | 48,297 | 42,656 | -12% |
Source: ANAROCK Research
- As per ANAROCK consumer sentiment survey, Bangalore, which is largely known for being an end-user driven market, saw a reverse trend. The share of respondents looking to invest in property in the IT capital jumped to 44% from the previous 25% in H2 2018.
- As per the survey, for 31% NRIs, Bangalore was the most preferred city for investment. The survey findings also pointed out that a whopping 67% buyers in Bangalore were happy with the builder from whom they bought their property and if given a chance they will again buy from the same builder. This coincides with its major USP wherein buyers have far less fear for project completion in comparison to other prominent cities.
Unprecedented commercial growth backed by burgeoning start-ups over the last few years has inevitably raised the disposable incomes of the IT/ITeS professionals and new entrepreneurs. It is this new and young population that is driving housing sales in the city. Much to their delight, prices were also fairly attractive and couldn’t possibly get lower than this. Alternately, to clear their unsold stock, developers also offered attractive deals and discounts to them.
Therefore, many felt it to be the most opportune time to buy a property since it won’t be long enough when developers would hike property prices due to better overall housing sales and buyer sentiments.
